Newcastle United vs Arsenal Matchday Stats Preview

Newcastle have won two of their last three Premier League home games against Arsenal (L1), as many as they had in their previous 19 at St James’ Park against them combined (D7 L10).

Arsenal lost this exact fixture 1-0 last season but haven’t lost consecutive away league games against Newcastle since their first three such visits in the Premier League between 1994 and 1996.

Newcastle are winless in their last five Premier League games (D2 L3), losing the last two in a row. They last had a longer run without a victory in August/September 2022 (6).

Newcastle lost their last Premier League home match 1-0 against Brighton, ending a run of 11 games without defeat at St James’ Park. It was also the first time they’d failed to score in 23 home league games, last drawing a blank in consecutive such matches in February 2020 under Steve Bruce.

Arsenal have conceded nine goals in their last five Premier League games, more than they had in their previous 19 combined (8). Indeed, they’ve shipped 2+ goals in four of these five games, as many times as they had in their previous 27.

Having been unbeaten in their first 12 Premier League away games in 2024 (W10 D2), Arsenal lost 2-0 at Bournemouth last time out. They last lost consecutively on the road in May 2022, the second game of which came at Newcastle.

Arsenal have scored more set piece goals (excluding penalties) than any other team in the Premier League this season (5). However, 40% of the Gunners’ goals conceded have come via a set piece (4/10, excluding pens), the highest ratio in the division so far.

Newcastle have scored nine goals from an xG of 14.3 in the Premier League this season, netting roughly five goals fewer than expected – only Manchester United have a larger negative difference in the competition this term (8 goals, 14.8 xG).

Alexander Isak averages a goal every 133 minutes in the Premier League for Newcastle – only Andrew Cole (one every 121 minutes) has a better average for the Magpies in the competition. The Swede has also scored 11 goals in his last 11 league appearances at St James’ Park.

Arsenal’s Bukayo Saka has created more chances than any other Premier League player this season (27), while with three goals and seven assists he’s one of four players with double figures for goal involvements this term. Indeed, he’s either scored or assisted a goal in 10 of his last 12 league games, including seven of eight this season.